Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Río de la Plata region on June 16, favoring clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest warming from maritime air, supporting daily maxima near 17–18°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns, yet small shifts in frontal timing or onshore advection could easily push readings to 19°C or hold them at 16°C. Historical June averages hover around 15–16°C, making the market’s tight clustering between 18°C (30%) and 19°C (28.5%) reflect traders weighing these marginal thermodynamic factors against typical winter variability and model resolution limits ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 16?
18°C 38%
19°C 25%
17°C 18%
16°C 7%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
18%
18°C
38%
19°C
25%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
19°C 25%
17°C 18%
16°C 7%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
18%
18°C
38%
19°C
25%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Río de la Plata region on June 16, favoring clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest warming from maritime air, supporting daily maxima near 17–18°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns, yet small shifts in frontal timing or onshore advection could easily push readings to 19°C or hold them at 16°C. Historical June averages hover around 15–16°C, making the market’s tight clustering between 18°C (30%) and 19°C (28.5%) reflect traders weighing these marginal thermodynamic factors against typical winter variability and model resolution limits ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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