Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a tight spread centered on 23–26°C for Mexico City’s June 16 maximum, reflecting typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation where afternoon convection often caps daytime heating. Variable cloud cover, moisture advection from the Pacific, and the precise timing of showers—driven by diurnal heating and orographic lift—create the primary uncertainty that keeps 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs overnight will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月16日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26°C 30%
25℃ 25%
23°C 12%
24°C 12%
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25℃
25%
26°C
30%
27℃
7%
28℃
4%
29℃以上
4%
26°C 30%
25℃ 25%
23°C 12%
24°C 12%
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25℃
25%
26°C
30%
27℃
7%
28℃
4%
29℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a tight spread centered on 23–26°C for Mexico City’s June 16 maximum, reflecting typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation where afternoon convection often caps daytime heating. Variable cloud cover, moisture advection from the Pacific, and the precise timing of showers—driven by diurnal heating and orographic lift—create the primary uncertainty that keeps 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs overnight will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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