The market's overwhelming consensus on a 30°C high in Busan today stems from Korea Meteorological Administration forecast models and global ensembles projecting a precise daytime maximum under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Korean Peninsula. Current observational data from coastal stations show temperatures tracking steadily toward this threshold amid stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-May sea-breeze moderation that prevents excessive warming. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for the region, where peaks often settle near 29–31°C before coastal influences cap further rises. Minor deviations in cloud cover timing or breeze strength remain the primary variables that could realistically shift the observed high, though model agreement currently leaves scant probability for outcomes outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の釜山の最高気温は?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,413 Vol.
$49,413 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,413 Vol.
$49,413 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The market's overwhelming consensus on a 30°C high in Busan today stems from Korea Meteorological Administration forecast models and global ensembles projecting a precise daytime maximum under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Korean Peninsula. Current observational data from coastal stations show temperatures tracking steadily toward this threshold amid stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-May sea-breeze moderation that prevents excessive warming. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for the region, where peaks often settle near 29–31°C before coastal influences cap further rises. Minor deviations in cloud cover timing or breeze strength remain the primary variables that could realistically shift the observed high, though model agreement currently leaves scant probability for outcomes outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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