Recent South African Weather Service guidance projects a daytime maximum near 17°C for Cape Town on August 17 under partly cloudy skies after a weak cold front, aligning with the city’s Mediterranean winter climatology where August highs average 17–18°C. Trader consensus favoring 18–19°C (combined ~66% implied probability) reflects short-range model spread and potential modest warming from Atlantic ridging or reduced marine-layer influence, while lower probabilities for 20°C+ capture limited upside from variable northerly flow. Official forecasts emphasize light winds and minimal precipitation risk, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around historical baselines. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
19°C 41%
18°C 26%
20°C 15%
17°C 10%
14°C以下
<1%
15℃
1%
16℃
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
41%
20°C
15%
21℃
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24℃以上
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 26%
20°C 15%
17°C 10%
14°C以下
<1%
15℃
1%
16℃
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
41%
20°C
15%
21℃
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent South African Weather Service guidance projects a daytime maximum near 17°C for Cape Town on August 17 under partly cloudy skies after a weak cold front, aligning with the city’s Mediterranean winter climatology where August highs average 17–18°C. Trader consensus favoring 18–19°C (combined ~66% implied probability) reflects short-range model spread and potential modest warming from Atlantic ridging or reduced marine-layer influence, while lower probabilities for 20°C+ capture limited upside from variable northerly flow. Official forecasts emphasize light winds and minimal precipitation risk, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around historical baselines. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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