Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 37°C in Chongqing on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow in the Sichuan Basin, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus clustering around the 37°C outcome reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low probability of either strong frontal passages or extreme heat buildup that would push readings to 39°C or higher. Model ensembles show tight agreement in this range, consistent with historical August climatology in the region where highs commonly reach 35–38°C. An unexpected intensification of the high-pressure ridge or reduced cloud cover could still shift the outcome toward 38°C, though current observations and guidance make that shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の重慶の最高気温は?
37°C 96%
38°C 4%
39°C <1%
33°C or below <1%
$40,644 Vol.
$40,644 Vol.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
96%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 96%
38°C 4%
39°C <1%
33°C or below <1%
$40,644 Vol.
$40,644 Vol.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
96%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 37°C in Chongqing on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow in the Sichuan Basin, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus clustering around the 37°C outcome reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low probability of either strong frontal passages or extreme heat buildup that would push readings to 39°C or higher. Model ensembles show tight agreement in this range, consistent with historical August climatology in the region where highs commonly reach 35–38°C. An unexpected intensification of the high-pressure ridge or reduced cloud cover could still shift the outcome toward 38°C, though current observations and guidance make that shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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