Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の広州の最高気温は？
8月12日の広州の最高気温は？
39℃ 100.0%
31°C以下 <1%
32°C <1%
33℃ <1%
$48,382 Vol.
$48,382 Vol.
2026/08/12
31°C以下
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35°C
いいえ
36°C
いいえ
37℃
いいえ
38℃
いいえ
39℃
はい
40℃
いいえ
41℃以上
いいえ
39℃ 100.0%
31°C以下 <1%
32°C <1%
33℃ <1%
$48,382 Vol.
$48,382 Vol.
2026/08/12
31°C以下
$471 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$450 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$903 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$1,825 Vol.
いいえ
35°C
$2,607 Vol.
いいえ
36°C
$4,594 Vol.
いいえ
37℃
$8,864 Vol.
いいえ
38℃
$7,473 Vol.
いいえ
39℃
$6,943 Vol.
はい
40℃
$9,324 Vol.
いいえ
41℃以上
$4,928 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$48,382終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$48,382終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問