Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies and typical early-summer boundary-layer moisture in the Pearl River Delta. This positions the 29°C bin as the market leader at 36 percent, with 28°C and 30°C each holding 22 percent as nearby outcomes reflect small variations in cloud timing and wind. Climatological baselines for mid-May show average highs around 29°C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that mean amid stable subtropical conditions. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine cloud cover or convective timing before resolution at midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日の広州の最高気温は?
29℃ 40%
30℃ 25%
28°C 22%
27°C 17%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
22%
29℃
34%
30℃
25%
31℃
4%
32°C以上
1%
29℃ 40%
30℃ 25%
28°C 22%
27°C 17%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
22%
29℃
34%
30℃
25%
31℃
4%
32°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies and typical early-summer boundary-layer moisture in the Pearl River Delta. This positions the 29°C bin as the market leader at 36 percent, with 28°C and 30°C each holding 22 percent as nearby outcomes reflect small variations in cloud timing and wind. Climatological baselines for mid-May show average highs around 29°C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that mean amid stable subtropical conditions. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine cloud cover or convective timing before resolution at midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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