Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 Vol.
$887,205 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 Vol.
$887,205 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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