Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, the region typically experiences transitional subtropical conditions under high pressure from the South China Sea, with average highs climbing toward 29–31°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens; the observed 27°C aligns closely with historical station records for this date. Traders rely on this verified data rather than models, which show minimal divergence once observations are finalized. Realistic challenges would require post-event revisions to official readings or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though such adjustments remain exceedingly rare for Hong Kong Observatory data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月15日の香港の最高気温は?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
$292,423 Vol.
$292,423 Vol.
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
$292,423 Vol.
$292,423 Vol.
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, the region typically experiences transitional subtropical conditions under high pressure from the South China Sea, with average highs climbing toward 29–31°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens; the observed 27°C aligns closely with historical station records for this date. Traders rely on this verified data rather than models, which show minimal divergence once observations are finalized. Realistic challenges would require post-event revisions to official readings or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though such adjustments remain exceedingly rare for Hong Kong Observatory data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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