Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This reading aligns with regional model consensus and seasonal climatology for mid-May, when subtropical high pressure typically supports highs in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Historical data show May maxima averaging near 28°C but with frequent daily variability of 3–5°C due to cloud cover and sea breezes. Traders assign negligible probability to other thresholds because post-event verification by the Observatory is definitive, though rare sensor calibration adjustments or microclimate differences at the reference station could theoretically alter the final reported value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Vol.
$302,787 Vol.
2026/05/16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Vol.
$302,787 Vol.
2026/05/16
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,348 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This reading aligns with regional model consensus and seasonal climatology for mid-May, when subtropical high pressure typically supports highs in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Historical data show May maxima averaging near 28°C but with frequent daily variability of 3–5°C due to cloud cover and sea breezes. Traders assign negligible probability to other thresholds because post-event verification by the Observatory is definitive, though rare sensor calibration adjustments or microclimate differences at the reference station could theoretically alter the final reported value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$302,787終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This reading aligns with regional model consensus and seasonal climatology for mid-May, when subtropical high pressure typically supports highs in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Historical data show May maxima averaging near 28°C but with frequent daily variability of 3–5°C due to cloud cover and sea breezes. Traders assign negligible probability to other thresholds because post-event verification by the Observatory is definitive, though rare sensor calibration adjustments or microclimate differences at the reference station could theoretically alter the final reported value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$302,787終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This reading aligns with regional model consensus and seasonal climatology for mid-May, when subtropical high pressure typically supports highs in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Historical data show May maxima averaging near 28°C but with frequent daily variability of 3–5°C due to cloud cover and sea breezes. Traders assign negligible probability to other thresholds because post-event verification by the Observatory is definitive, though rare sensor calibration adjustments or microclimate differences at the reference station could theoretically alter the final reported value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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