Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate Houston will reach daytime highs near or above 86°F today, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This aligns with May climatology at Hobby Airport, where the long-term average high is 86°F and recent days have trended similarly without strong frontal intrusions or northerly cooling. The 87.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions, though afternoon convective activity could introduce minor variability before official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
86°F or higher 88.2%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$17,196 Vol.
$17,196 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
88%
86°F or higher 88.2%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$17,196 Vol.
$17,196 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate Houston will reach daytime highs near or above 86°F today, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This aligns with May climatology at Hobby Airport, where the long-term average high is 86°F and recent days have trended similarly without strong frontal intrusions or northerly cooling. The 87.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions, though afternoon convective activity could introduce minor variability before official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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