Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
5月18日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 21%
23°C or higher 13.5%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
21%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 21%
23°C or higher 13.5%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
13°C or below
$442 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,695 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,084 Vol.
1%
19°C
$731 Vol.
4%
20°C
$264 Vol.
21%
21°C
$402 Vol.
33%
22°C
$304 Vol.
26%
23°C or higher
$692 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$8,290終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,290終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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