Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Jinan on August 29 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by lingering monsoon influences, moderate southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend from late-August peaks near 32–34°C, with increased cloud cover and precipitation probability (40–70% in models) expected to cap daytime highs while keeping them well above seasonal norms for late summer. This consensus, supported by ensemble runs showing limited downside risk from heavier rain or stronger northerly shifts, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the final hours before resolution remain key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 92%
24°C 4%
25°C 4%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
92%
26°C or higher 92%
24°C 4%
25°C 4%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Jinan on August 29 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by lingering monsoon influences, moderate southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend from late-August peaks near 32–34°C, with increased cloud cover and precipitation probability (40–70% in models) expected to cap daytime highs while keeping them well above seasonal norms for late summer. This consensus, supported by ensemble runs showing limited downside risk from heavier rain or stronger northerly shifts, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the final hours before resolution remain key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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