**Market-implied odds favor a mild overnight low near or above 22°C for Jinan on August 29, 2026.** Multiple forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and the Met Office converge on a nighttime minimum of 21–22°C, driven by persistent high humidity (70–85%), extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent light rain and thunderstorms have maintained elevated dew points around 20–21°C, suppressing sharper temperature drops typical of clearer late-summer nights. Historical August lows in Jinan average near 22–24°C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, assigning the highest probability (48.5%) to 22°C or higher while discounting colder outcomes below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will be key for any shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の済南の最低気温は？
8月29日の済南の最低気温は？
18°C 50%
19℃ 50%
13℃ 49%
14℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
12℃以下
35%
13℃
49%
14℃
49%
15°C
49%
16℃
46%
17°C
25%
18°C
50%
19℃
50%
20℃
27%
21℃
27%
22℃以上
49%
18°C 50%
19℃ 50%
13℃ 49%
14℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
12℃以下
$5 Vol.
35%
13℃
$5 Vol.
49%
14℃
$5 Vol.
49%
15°C
$135 Vol.
49%
16℃
$395 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19℃
$0 Vol.
50%
20℃
$0 Vol.
27%
21℃
$0 Vol.
27%
22℃以上
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a mild overnight low near or above 22°C for Jinan on August 29, 2026.** Multiple forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and the Met Office converge on a nighttime minimum of 21–22°C, driven by persistent high humidity (70–85%), extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent light rain and thunderstorms have maintained elevated dew points around 20–21°C, suppressing sharper temperature drops typical of clearer late-summer nights. Historical August lows in Jinan average near 22–24°C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, assigning the highest probability (48.5%) to 22°C or higher while discounting colder outcomes below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will be key for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$545終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a mild overnight low near or above 22°C for Jinan on August 29, 2026.** Multiple forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and the Met Office converge on a nighttime minimum of 21–22°C, driven by persistent high humidity (70–85%), extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent light rain and thunderstorms have maintained elevated dew points around 20–21°C, suppressing sharper temperature drops typical of clearer late-summer nights. Historical August lows in Jinan average near 22–24°C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, assigning the highest probability (48.5%) to 22°C or higher while discounting colder outcomes below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will be key for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$545終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Market-implied odds favor a mild overnight low near or above 22°C for Jinan on August 29, 2026.** Multiple forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and the Met Office converge on a nighttime minimum of 21–22°C, driven by persistent high humidity (70–85%), extensive cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent light rain and thunderstorms have maintained elevated dew points around 20–21°C, suppressing sharper temperature drops typical of clearer late-summer nights. Historical August lows in Jinan average near 22–24°C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, assigning the highest probability (48.5%) to 22°C or higher while discounting colder outcomes below 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will be key for any shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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