Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak of exactly 30°C in London today under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, driving the market's near-certain consensus at 30°C. Official guidance highlights light winds and strong solar heating as the main factors aligning with this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August patterns where maximum temperatures often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Traders' overwhelming positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessment of model consensus rather than any single projection. Uncertainties in localized cloud formation, subtle shifts in the jet stream, or measurement variations at the official London City Airport station could still alter the recorded high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のロンドンの最高気温は?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$161,165 Vol.
$161,165 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C以上
いいえ
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$161,165 Vol.
$161,165 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C以上
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak of exactly 30°C in London today under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, driving the market's near-certain consensus at 30°C. Official guidance highlights light winds and strong solar heating as the main factors aligning with this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August patterns where maximum temperatures often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Traders' overwhelming positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessment of model consensus rather than any single projection. Uncertainties in localized cloud formation, subtle shifts in the jet stream, or measurement variations at the official London City Airport station could still alter the recorded high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問