Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のミラノの最高気温は?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 Vol.
$45,514 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 Vol.
$45,514 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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