Persistent high-pressure patterns and an ongoing European heat dome have driven recent model consensus toward peak temperatures of 32–35°C in Milan on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Official outlooks from agencies tracking the fourth major heatwave of the summer place the city under elevated alerts, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread around this range due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher below 5% while rendering sub-32°C outcomes improbable given current anomalies 5–6°C above August normals. New ECMWF and national meteorological updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のミラノの最高気温は？
8月15日のミラノの最高気温は？
34°C 28%
35°C 28%
33°C 11%
32°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
11%
34°C
28%
35°C
28%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 28%
35°C 28%
33°C 11%
32°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
30°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$7 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
28%
35°C
$0 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5 Vol.
6%
39°C
$12 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure patterns and an ongoing European heat dome have driven recent model consensus toward peak temperatures of 32–35°C in Milan on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Official outlooks from agencies tracking the fourth major heatwave of the summer place the city under elevated alerts, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread around this range due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher below 5% while rendering sub-32°C outcomes improbable given current anomalies 5–6°C above August normals. New ECMWF and national meteorological updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$58終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure patterns and an ongoing European heat dome have driven recent model consensus toward peak temperatures of 32–35°C in Milan on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Official outlooks from agencies tracking the fourth major heatwave of the summer place the city under elevated alerts, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread around this range due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher below 5% while rendering sub-32°C outcomes improbable given current anomalies 5–6°C above August normals. New ECMWF and national meteorological updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$58終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent high-pressure patterns and an ongoing European heat dome have driven recent model consensus toward peak temperatures of 32–35°C in Milan on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Official outlooks from agencies tracking the fourth major heatwave of the summer place the city under elevated alerts, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread around this range due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher below 5% while rendering sub-32°C outcomes improbable given current anomalies 5–6°C above August normals. New ECMWF and national meteorological updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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