**Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 29–31°C for Milan on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly to southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit strong daytime heating or cooling.** This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where typical early-September maxima hover around 28–30°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% probability for exactly 30°C and combined ~70% for 29–31°C, tracks these ensemble outputs closely, with lower odds on 32°C+ stemming from modest moisture and only isolated thunderstorm risk that could cap temperatures. Model agreement remains reasonably tight 24–48 hours out, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のミラノの最高気温は?
30°C 42%
29°C 25%
31°C 24%
32°C or higher 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
25%
30°C
42%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
8%
30°C 42%
29°C 25%
31°C 24%
32°C or higher 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
25%
30°C
42%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 29–31°C for Milan on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly to southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit strong daytime heating or cooling.** This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where typical early-September maxima hover around 28–30°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% probability for exactly 30°C and combined ~70% for 29–31°C, tracks these ensemble outputs closely, with lower odds on 32°C+ stemming from modest moisture and only isolated thunderstorm risk that could cap temperatures. Model agreement remains reasonably tight 24–48 hours out, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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