Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus places Moscow’s August 13 maximum near 15–17 °C, supporting the market’s tight clustering with 16 °C leading at 34 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation, and surface high pressure limiting warm advection keep daytime highs modest, while boundary-layer mixing variations and minor frontal timing shifts within the ensembles allow 1–2 °C swings. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window, with traders weighting these short-range guidance refinements most heavily.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月13日のモスクワの最高気温は？
16°C 35%
15°C 28%
17°C 20%
14℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
12°C以下
1%
13℃
4%
14℃
10%
15°C
28%
16°C
35%
17°C
20%
18℃
5%
19°C
2%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
16°C 35%
15°C 28%
17°C 20%
14℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
12°C以下
$1,153 Vol.
1%
13℃
$302 Vol.
4%
14℃
$884 Vol.
10%
15°C
$859 Vol.
28%
16°C
$286 Vol.
35%
17°C
$451 Vol.
20%
18℃
$770 Vol.
5%
19°C
$248 Vol.
2%
20℃
$275 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$753 Vol.
<1%
22°C以上
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus places Moscow’s August 13 maximum near 15–17 °C, supporting the market’s tight clustering with 16 °C leading at 34 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation, and surface high pressure limiting warm advection keep daytime highs modest, while boundary-layer mixing variations and minor frontal timing shifts within the ensembles allow 1–2 °C swings. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window, with traders weighting these short-range guidance refinements most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$6,147終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus places Moscow’s August 13 maximum near 15–17 °C, supporting the market’s tight clustering with 16 °C leading at 34 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation, and surface high pressure limiting warm advection keep daytime highs modest, while boundary-layer mixing variations and minor frontal timing shifts within the ensembles allow 1–2 °C swings. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window, with traders weighting these short-range guidance refinements most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,147終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus places Moscow’s August 13 maximum near 15–17 °C, supporting the market’s tight clustering with 16 °C leading at 34 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation, and surface high pressure limiting warm advection keep daytime highs modest, while boundary-layer mixing variations and minor frontal timing shifts within the ensembles allow 1–2 °C swings. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window, with traders weighting these short-range guidance refinements most heavily.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問