Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime temperatures in Moscow will peak between 24°C and 26°C on May 17, with an easterly flow and possible light rain limiting further warming. Numerical weather models show stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and no strong southerly advection that could push readings higher, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on a 26°C maximum. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making this seasonably elevated but within recent climatological variability. A sudden shift in steering winds or delayed cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 27°C, though current model runs assign low probability to such outcomes before official measurements close the day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のモスクワの最高気温は?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,722 Vol.
$44,722 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,722 Vol.
$44,722 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime temperatures in Moscow will peak between 24°C and 26°C on May 17, with an easterly flow and possible light rain limiting further warming. Numerical weather models show stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and no strong southerly advection that could push readings higher, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on a 26°C maximum. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making this seasonably elevated but within recent climatological variability. A sudden shift in steering winds or delayed cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 27°C, though current model runs assign low probability to such outcomes before official measurements close the day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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