Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center show a high-pressure ridge directing warmer continental air over Moscow, with light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This places the day modestly above the May climatological average of about 18°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus and official guidance projecting a peak of 24–26°C amid occasional rain. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight forecast range and limited potential for stronger warm advection or subsidence that could push readings higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のモスクワの最高気温は?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,784 Vol.
$44,784 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,784 Vol.
$44,784 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center show a high-pressure ridge directing warmer continental air over Moscow, with light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This places the day modestly above the May climatological average of about 18°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus and official guidance projecting a peak of 24–26°C amid occasional rain. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight forecast range and limited potential for stronger warm advection or subsidence that could push readings higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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