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icon for 5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?

5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?

icon for 5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?

5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?

29°C 33%

28°C 29%

30°C 19%

27°C 16%

Polymarket
新規

$10,550 Vol.

29°C 33%

28°C 29%

30°C 19%

27°C 16%

Polymarket
新規

$10,550 Vol.

21°C or below

$870 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$533 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$1,146 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,494 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,610 Vol.

1%

26°C

$598 Vol.

5%

27°C

$498 Vol.

16%

28°C

$689 Vol.

29%

29°C

$512 Vol.

33%

30°C

$405 Vol.

19%

31°C or higher

$1,194 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, point to a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 18 as the most likely outcome, driven by southerly warm-air advection under mostly clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with afternoon boundary-layer heating expected to reach these levels before any evening cooling sets in. Historical May climatology for the city shows mean daily maxima near 18–20°C, so this represents a notable positive anomaly of roughly 8–10°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering between the 28°C and 29°C contracts against modest model uncertainty in exact timing of peak insolation and potential for localized cloud development. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official Hydrometcenter observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,550
終了日
2026/05/18
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, point to a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 18 as the most likely outcome, driven by southerly warm-air advection under mostly clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with afternoon boundary-layer heating expected to reach these levels before any evening cooling sets in. Historical May climatology for the city shows mean daily maxima near 18–20°C, so this represents a notable positive anomaly of roughly 8–10°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering between the 28°C and 29°C contracts against modest model uncertainty in exact timing of peak insolation and potential for localized cloud development. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official Hydrometcenter observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,550
終了日
2026/05/18
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「29°C」で33%、次いで「28°C」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?」は$10.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「29°C」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「28°C」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月18日のモスクワの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。