Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a 24–26°C maximum for Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak readings most likely between 13:00–16:00 local time. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term early-September climatological average of ~22°C while remaining well below late-summer heatwave thresholds. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, an uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution narrow and centered on these values.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
25°C 36%
26°C 29%
24°C 19%
23°C 14%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
29%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 29%
24°C 19%
23°C 14%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
29%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a 24–26°C maximum for Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak readings most likely between 13:00–16:00 local time. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term early-September climatological average of ~22°C while remaining well below late-summer heatwave thresholds. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, an uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution narrow and centered on these values.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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