Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23°C in Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, positioning 24°C and 23°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 44.5% and 30.5% respectively. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.2°C following cooler, stormier conditions on August 31. Trader consensus incorporates typical model spread of 1–2°C while noting limited upside potential from clearing skies and downslope effects. Final DWD updates and overnight model runs ahead of the date will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
24°C 45%
23°C 31%
25°C 13%
22°C 8%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
31%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 31%
25°C 13%
22°C 8%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
31%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23°C in Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, positioning 24°C and 23°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 44.5% and 30.5% respectively. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.2°C following cooler, stormier conditions on August 31. Trader consensus incorporates typical model spread of 1–2°C while noting limited upside potential from clearing skies and downslope effects. Final DWD updates and overnight model runs ahead of the date will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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