National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
86～87°F 47%
88〜89°F 32%
84～85°F 16%
90～91°F 8.3%
$67,798 Vol.
$67,798 Vol.
2026/05/17
華氏79度以下
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82～83°F
1%
84～85°F
16%
86～87°F
47%
88〜89°F
32%
90～91°F
8%
92～93°F
1%
94～95°F
<1%
96～97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
86～87°F 47%
88〜89°F 32%
84～85°F 16%
90～91°F 8.3%
$67,798 Vol.
$67,798 Vol.
2026/05/17
華氏79度以下
$9,591 Vol.
<1%
80〜81°F
$7,187 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$7,952 Vol.
1%
84～85°F
$7,421 Vol.
16%
86～87°F
$7,156 Vol.
47%
88〜89°F
$5,222 Vol.
32%
90～91°F
$6,996 Vol.
8%
92～93°F
$5,233 Vol.
1%
94～95°F
$4,439 Vol.
<1%
96～97°F
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
98°F以上
$3,141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$67,798終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$67,798終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNational Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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