Current forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Panama City on August 23, aligning with trader emphasis on these outcomes. In the wet season, afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 31°C, while variable trade winds and moisture from the Pacific keep conditions from exceeding 33°C. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 30–32°C amid scattered showers, supporting the 74.5% combined implied probability for 31–32°C and limiting odds for outliers above 34°C or below 29°C. Official monitoring will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
31℃ 45%
32℃ 30%
30℃ 13%
29°C 9%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28℃
5%
29°C
9%
30℃
13%
31℃
45%
32℃
30%
33°C
9%
34℃以上
3%
31℃ 45%
32℃ 30%
30℃ 13%
29°C 9%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28℃
5%
29°C
9%
30℃
13%
31℃
45%
32℃
30%
33°C
9%
34℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Panama City on August 23, aligning with trader emphasis on these outcomes. In the wet season, afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 31°C, while variable trade winds and moisture from the Pacific keep conditions from exceeding 33°C. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 30–32°C amid scattered showers, supporting the 74.5% combined implied probability for 31–32°C and limiting odds for outliers above 34°C or below 29°C. Official monitoring will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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