Current forecast models from major ensembles indicate that a dry continental air mass combined with peak May solar insolation will drive Panama City's daily maximum well above 33°C at the airport measurement site. This setup favors strong surface heating in the tropical lowland environment, where light winds and limited moisture support temperatures exceeding typical May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Trader consensus at 99.5% on the 33°C-or-higher outcome reflects this model agreement and recent observational trends. Only a late-day increase in convective cloud cover or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically limit the peak below the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33°C or higher 99.5%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,086 Vol.
$25,086 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
33°C or higher 99.5%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,086 Vol.
$25,086 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from major ensembles indicate that a dry continental air mass combined with peak May solar insolation will drive Panama City's daily maximum well above 33°C at the airport measurement site. This setup favors strong surface heating in the tropical lowland environment, where light winds and limited moisture support temperatures exceeding typical May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Trader consensus at 99.5% on the 33°C-or-higher outcome reflects this model agreement and recent observational trends. Only a late-day increase in convective cloud cover or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically limit the peak below the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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