Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a high likelihood of daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by typical early wet-season conditions with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and afternoon convective clouds that often limit further warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 31.5°C, with rare excursions above 33°C under clear, dry spells. Current ensemble guidance indicates stable steering patterns and no strong subsidence to suppress cloud development, keeping the 33°C-or-higher outcome at modest implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33°C or higher 40%
32°C 38%
31°C 24%
30°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
40%
33°C or higher 40%
32°C 38%
31°C 24%
30°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a high likelihood of daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by typical early wet-season conditions with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and afternoon convective clouds that often limit further warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 31.5°C, with rare excursions above 33°C under clear, dry spells. Current ensemble guidance indicates stable steering patterns and no strong subsidence to suppress cloud development, keeping the 33°C-or-higher outcome at modest implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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