Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show stable high-pressure systems over Sao Paulo, limiting daytime warming and positioning a maximum of 22°C as the most likely outcome. Seasonal May patterns, with average highs near this level, align with current observations of moderate temperatures and minimal frontal activity that could drive further increases. Trader consensus reflects this consensus data, though slight upward revisions in model runs could support the smaller probability for 23°C or higher before daily resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
22°C 78.9%
23°C or higher 20%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$54,563 Vol.
$54,563 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C or higher
20%
22°C 78.9%
23°C or higher 20%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$54,563 Vol.
$54,563 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show stable high-pressure systems over Sao Paulo, limiting daytime warming and positioning a maximum of 22°C as the most likely outcome. Seasonal May patterns, with average highs near this level, align with current observations of moderate temperatures and minimal frontal activity that could drive further increases. Trader consensus reflects this consensus data, though slight upward revisions in model runs could support the smaller probability for 23°C or higher before daily resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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