Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の上海の最高気温は?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,789 Vol.
$110,789 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,789 Vol.
$110,789 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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