Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,182 Vol.
$66,182 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,182 Vol.
$66,182 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問