Current forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shenzhen will likely see a peak temperature near 27–28°C on May 18, driven by persistent cloud cover and moisture from a subtropical monsoon flow over the Pearl River Delta. This setup limits diurnal heating despite seasonal norms where May highs average 29–30°C. Ensemble spreads show modest warming potential if afternoon skies clear under a weakening low-pressure influence, which could nudge readings to 29°C, while stronger onshore winds or additional rain would cap the high closer to 27°C. Traders’ near-even split among the three leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range boundary-layer conditions and humidity trends ahead of the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日の深センの最高気温は?
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
30°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
25%
28°C
27%
29°C
22%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
30°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
25%
28°C
27%
29°C
22%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shenzhen will likely see a peak temperature near 27–28°C on May 18, driven by persistent cloud cover and moisture from a subtropical monsoon flow over the Pearl River Delta. This setup limits diurnal heating despite seasonal norms where May highs average 29–30°C. Ensemble spreads show modest warming potential if afternoon skies clear under a weakening low-pressure influence, which could nudge readings to 29°C, while stronger onshore winds or additional rain would cap the high closer to 27°C. Traders’ near-even split among the three leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range boundary-layer conditions and humidity trends ahead of the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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