Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta that moderate solar heating under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with typical mid-May subtropical patterns, where light winds and moderate humidity keep peaks near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban heat effects could still adjust the recorded high by 1°C. Trader consensus reflects this high model agreement, with little room for outcomes outside the narrow 26–28°C window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の深センの最高気温は?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,689 Vol.
$50,689 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,689 Vol.
$50,689 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta that moderate solar heating under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with typical mid-May subtropical patterns, where light winds and moderate humidity keep peaks near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban heat effects could still adjust the recorded high by 1°C. Trader consensus reflects this high model agreement, with little room for outcomes outside the narrow 26–28°C window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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