Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月19日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
28°C 26%
29°C 20%
27℃ 16%
26℃ 6%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23°C
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
4%
26℃
6%
27℃
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31℃以上
6%
28°C 26%
29°C 20%
27℃ 16%
26℃ 6%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23°C
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
4%
26℃
6%
27℃
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31℃以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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