Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and other global models converge on a daily maximum near 26°C in Warsaw, supported by scattered cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and modest warm-air advection beneath stable high pressure. This meteorological setup limits daytime heating and aligns with observed trends, producing the market's strong implied probability for 26°C. Historical August baselines in the region average highs around 23–25°C, providing context for the modest warmth. Shifts in cloud thickness, stronger southerly flow, or enhanced solar radiation could still push readings to 27°C or higher before the day ends, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月14日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
26℃ 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,462 Vol.
$34,462 Vol.
2026/08/14
20℃以下
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
26℃ 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,462 Vol.
$34,462 Vol.
2026/08/14
20℃以下
$2,297 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$1,937 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$831 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$1,925 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$2,597 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$6,516 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$7,229 Vol.
はい
27℃
$4,542 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$3,820 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$2,235 Vol.
いいえ
30°C以上
$533 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and other global models converge on a daily maximum near 26°C in Warsaw, supported by scattered cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and modest warm-air advection beneath stable high pressure. This meteorological setup limits daytime heating and aligns with observed trends, producing the market's strong implied probability for 26°C. Historical August baselines in the region average highs around 23–25°C, providing context for the modest warmth. Shifts in cloud thickness, stronger southerly flow, or enhanced solar radiation could still push readings to 27°C or higher before the day ends, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$34,462終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and other global models converge on a daily maximum near 26°C in Warsaw, supported by scattered cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and modest warm-air advection beneath stable high pressure. This meteorological setup limits daytime heating and aligns with observed trends, producing the market's strong implied probability for 26°C. Historical August baselines in the region average highs around 23–25°C, providing context for the modest warmth. Shifts in cloud thickness, stronger southerly flow, or enhanced solar radiation could still push readings to 27°C or higher before the day ends, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$34,462終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and other global models converge on a daily maximum near 26°C in Warsaw, supported by scattered cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and modest warm-air advection beneath stable high pressure. This meteorological setup limits daytime heating and aligns with observed trends, producing the market's strong implied probability for 26°C. Historical August baselines in the region average highs around 23–25°C, providing context for the modest warmth. Shifts in cloud thickness, stronger southerly flow, or enhanced solar radiation could still push readings to 27°C or higher before the day ends, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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