Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 32°C or higher as the leading outcome for Zhengzhou's August 17 high, with consensus around 31–32°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal cooling but may moderate peak heating. Official guidance highlights persistent warm advection and heat risk indices in the moderate range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima often reach 31–33°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this baseline while incorporating model uncertainty around afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in frontal boundaries, with new observational data and updated runs from regional agencies expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の鄭州の最高気温は?
31°C 27%
30°C 14%
29°C 9%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
49%
31°C 27%
30°C 14%
29°C 9%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 32°C or higher as the leading outcome for Zhengzhou's August 17 high, with consensus around 31–32°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal cooling but may moderate peak heating. Official guidance highlights persistent warm advection and heat risk indices in the moderate range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima often reach 31–33°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this baseline while incorporating model uncertainty around afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in frontal boundaries, with new observational data and updated runs from regional agencies expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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