**Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Zhengzhou on September 17, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly winds at 5–8 mph, and moderate humidity around 50–65% that limits daytime heating.** Current conditions show overcast to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with observed morning temperatures near 21–24°C and preventing the stronger solar insolation needed for higher peaks. This matches historical September baselines of roughly 24–26°C highs while reflecting today's specific atmospheric setup of stable pressure and limited diurnal range. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and ongoing observations. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 27°C or above, whereas increased rain or northerly shifts might cap the high below 24°C, though both appear low-probability given present data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の鄭州の最高気温は?
25℃ 100.0%
27°C 2.1%
26°C <1%
22℃以下 <1%
$9,258 Vol.
$9,258 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
25℃ 100.0%
27°C 2.1%
26°C <1%
22℃以下 <1%
$9,258 Vol.
$9,258 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Zhengzhou on September 17, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly winds at 5–8 mph, and moderate humidity around 50–65% that limits daytime heating.** Current conditions show overcast to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with observed morning temperatures near 21–24°C and preventing the stronger solar insolation needed for higher peaks. This matches historical September baselines of roughly 24–26°C highs while reflecting today's specific atmospheric setup of stable pressure and limited diurnal range. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and ongoing observations. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 27°C or above, whereas increased rain or northerly shifts might cap the high below 24°C, though both appear low-probability given present data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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