Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position a daytime high near 21°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 17 through southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on limited variability in the short-range forecast. Historical September averages hover around 17–18°C, but recent model agreement shows modest warming relative to prior days without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed deviations in upstream Atlantic patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift odds toward 20°C or 22°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のモスクワの最高気温は？
9月17日のモスクワの最高気温は？
21℃ 71%
22℃ 14%
20℃ 11%
19℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
2%
18℃
2%
19℃
6%
20℃
11%
21℃
71%
22℃
14%
23℃
3%
24°C
2%
25℃以上
1%
21℃ 71%
22℃ 14%
20℃ 11%
19℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15℃以下
$239 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$197 Vol.
1%
17℃
$161 Vol.
2%
18℃
$124 Vol.
2%
19℃
$264 Vol.
6%
20℃
$837 Vol.
11%
21℃
$1,053 Vol.
71%
22℃
$98 Vol.
14%
23℃
$355 Vol.
3%
24°C
$62 Vol.
2%
25℃以上
$211 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position a daytime high near 21°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 17 through southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on limited variability in the short-range forecast. Historical September averages hover around 17–18°C, but recent model agreement shows modest warming relative to prior days without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed deviations in upstream Atlantic patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift odds toward 20°C or 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$3,600終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position a daytime high near 21°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 17 through southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on limited variability in the short-range forecast. Historical September averages hover around 17–18°C, but recent model agreement shows modest warming relative to prior days without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed deviations in upstream Atlantic patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift odds toward 20°C or 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,600終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position a daytime high near 21°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 17 through southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on limited variability in the short-range forecast. Historical September averages hover around 17–18°C, but recent model agreement shows modest warming relative to prior days without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could suppress maxima. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed deviations in upstream Atlantic patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift odds toward 20°C or 22°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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