Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and consensus model runs indicate overnight lows in the Moscow region will reach approximately 9°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, aligning with the market's strong 95% implied probability for that threshold. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions, including a stable pressure field around 1011–1016 hPa and limited precipitation chances, which support gradual nocturnal cooling consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover near 8°C. Recent model agreement across GFS and regional guidance reinforces limited downside risk. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly wind shift advecting colder air, potentially dropping readings below the mark before official verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のモスクワの最低気温は？
9月17日のモスクワの最低気温は？
9°C 100.0%
7°C 3%
6℃ 1.0%
8℃ 1.0%
$876 Vol.
$876 Vol.
2026/09/17
3℃以下
いいえ
4℃
いいえ
5°C
いいえ
6℃
いいえ
7°C
いいえ
8℃
いいえ
9°C
はい
10°C
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃以上
いいえ
9°C 100.0%
7°C 3%
6℃ 1.0%
8℃ 1.0%
$876 Vol.
$876 Vol.
2026/09/17
3℃以下
$41 Vol.
いいえ
4℃
$41 Vol.
いいえ
5°C
$41 Vol.
いいえ
6℃
$43 Vol.
いいえ
7°C
$35 Vol.
いいえ
8℃
$184 Vol.
いいえ
9°C
$144 Vol.
はい
10°C
$280 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$15 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$15 Vol.
いいえ
13℃以上
$37 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and consensus model runs indicate overnight lows in the Moscow region will reach approximately 9°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, aligning with the market's strong 95% implied probability for that threshold. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions, including a stable pressure field around 1011–1016 hPa and limited precipitation chances, which support gradual nocturnal cooling consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover near 8°C. Recent model agreement across GFS and regional guidance reinforces limited downside risk. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly wind shift advecting colder air, potentially dropping readings below the mark before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$876終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and consensus model runs indicate overnight lows in the Moscow region will reach approximately 9°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, aligning with the market's strong 95% implied probability for that threshold. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions, including a stable pressure field around 1011–1016 hPa and limited precipitation chances, which support gradual nocturnal cooling consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover near 8°C. Recent model agreement across GFS and regional guidance reinforces limited downside risk. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly wind shift advecting colder air, potentially dropping readings below the mark before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$876終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and consensus model runs indicate overnight lows in the Moscow region will reach approximately 9°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, aligning with the market's strong 95% implied probability for that threshold. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions, including a stable pressure field around 1011–1016 hPa and limited precipitation chances, which support gradual nocturnal cooling consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover near 8°C. Recent model agreement across GFS and regional guidance reinforces limited downside risk. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly wind shift advecting colder air, potentially dropping readings below the mark before official verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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