Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21–22°C for London on September 17, with morning light rain and cloud clearing to partly cloudy conditions by afternoon under westerly winds. This setup supports the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, as daytime warming peaks near 20–21°C before cooling. Recent model consensus and early observations of clearing skies after overnight moisture have reinforced trader positioning around this narrow range, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide baseline context, but current steering patterns favor slightly above-average warmth before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のロンドンの最高気温は?
21°C 60%
20℃ 22%
22℃ 15%
19℃ 4%
$23,374 Vol.
$23,374 Vol.
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
1%
19℃
4%
20℃
22%
21°C
60%
22℃
15%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
21°C 60%
20℃ 22%
22℃ 15%
19℃ 4%
$23,374 Vol.
$23,374 Vol.
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
1%
19℃
4%
20℃
22%
21°C
60%
22℃
15%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 21–22°C for London on September 17, with morning light rain and cloud clearing to partly cloudy conditions by afternoon under westerly winds. This setup supports the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, as daytime warming peaks near 20–21°C before cooling. Recent model consensus and early observations of clearing skies after overnight moisture have reinforced trader positioning around this narrow range, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide baseline context, but current steering patterns favor slightly above-average warmth before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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