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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

23% 確率
Polymarket

$20,319 Vol.

23% 確率
Polymarket

$20,319 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Commerce Secretary in September 2026, advancing trade negotiations, semiconductor reshoring, and energy initiatives while defending agency budgets before Congress. Recent reporting shows him participating in high-level meetings on AI safety and commenting on ongoing bilateral talks, including with Canada. Earlier 2026 controversies over his past Epstein connections prompted bipartisan calls for resignation, yet the White House reaffirmed support and no formal action followed. Traders appear to view these factors, combined with the absence of new conflicts or signals of presidential dissatisfaction, as supporting a high likelihood that Lutnick completes the year in the role.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,319
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Commerce Secretary in September 2026, advancing trade negotiations, semiconductor reshoring, and energy initiatives while defending agency budgets before Congress. Recent reporting shows him participating in high-level meetings on AI safety and commenting on ongoing bilateral talks, including with Canada. Earlier 2026 controversies over his past Epstein connections prompted bipartisan calls for resignation, yet the White House reaffirmed support and no formal action followed. Traders appear to view these factors, combined with the absence of new conflicts or signals of presidential dissatisfaction, as supporting a high likelihood that Lutnick completes the year in the role.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,319
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して23%です。例えば、「はい」が23¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を23%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?」は$20.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して23%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を23%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。