Recent Reuters reporting on Anthropic's revised IPO schedule—shifting the public S-1 to late September and marketing to mid-October at the earliest—has anchored trader consensus around an October 2026 listing at 53.5% implied probability. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, Nasdaq selection, $15 billion credit facility negotiations, and rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July underpin expectations for a high-valuation debut before November midterms. OpenAI’s decision to defer any 2026 IPO further highlights Anthropic’s relative readiness, though final timing remains subject to SEC review, market conditions, and analyst meetings. November holds 25.4% odds as a buffer for slippage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年10月 54%
2026年11月 24.9%
2026年12月 8.1%
2027年2月 2.3%
$233,742 Vol.
$233,742 Vol.
2027/12/31
2026年9月
<1%
2026年10月
54%
2026年11月
25%
2026年12月
8%
2027年1月
2%
2027年2月
2%
2027年3月
1%
2027年4月
1%
2027年5月
<1%
2027年6月
<1%
2027年7月
<1%
2027年8月
<1%
2027年9月
<1%
2027年10月
<1%
2027年11月
<1%
2027年12月
<1%
2028年以前に上場しない
1%
2026年10月 54%
2026年11月 24.9%
2026年12月 8.1%
2027年2月 2.3%
$233,742 Vol.
$233,742 Vol.
2027/12/31
2026年9月
$33,905 Vol.
<1%
2026年10月
$61,849 Vol.
54%
2026年11月
$26,671 Vol.
25%
2026年12月
$14,930 Vol.
8%
2027年1月
$7,763 Vol.
2%
2027年2月
$7,427 Vol.
2%
2027年3月
$7,502 Vol.
1%
2027年4月
$6,998 Vol.
1%
2027年5月
$6,903 Vol.
<1%
2027年6月
$7,164 Vol.
<1%
2027年7月
$6,879 Vol.
<1%
2027年8月
$6,572 Vol.
<1%
2027年9月
$6,625 Vol.
<1%
2027年10月
$6,339 Vol.
<1%
2027年11月
$6,541 Vol.
<1%
2027年12月
$6,578 Vol.
<1%
2028年以前に上場しない
$13,095 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent Reuters reporting on Anthropic's revised IPO schedule—shifting the public S-1 to late September and marketing to mid-October at the earliest—has anchored trader consensus around an October 2026 listing at 53.5% implied probability. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, Nasdaq selection, $15 billion credit facility negotiations, and rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July underpin expectations for a high-valuation debut before November midterms. OpenAI’s decision to defer any 2026 IPO further highlights Anthropic’s relative readiness, though final timing remains subject to SEC review, market conditions, and analyst meetings. November holds 25.4% odds as a buffer for slippage.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
音量
$233,742終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent Reuters reporting on Anthropic's revised IPO schedule—shifting the public S-1 to late September and marketing to mid-October at the earliest—has anchored trader consensus around an October 2026 listing at 53.5% implied probability. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, Nasdaq selection, $15 billion credit facility negotiations, and rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July underpin expectations for a high-valuation debut before November midterms. OpenAI’s decision to defer any 2026 IPO further highlights Anthropic’s relative readiness, though final timing remains subject to SEC review, market conditions, and analyst meetings. November holds 25.4% odds as a buffer for slippage.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
音量
$233,742終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent Reuters reporting on Anthropic's revised IPO schedule—shifting the public S-1 to late September and marketing to mid-October at the earliest—has anchored trader consensus around an October 2026 listing at 53.5% implied probability. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, Nasdaq selection, $15 billion credit facility negotiations, and rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July underpin expectations for a high-valuation debut before November midterms. OpenAI’s decision to defer any 2026 IPO further highlights Anthropic’s relative readiness, though final timing remains subject to SEC review, market conditions, and analyst meetings. November holds 25.4% odds as a buffer for slippage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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