The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,128,437 Vol.
$1,128,437 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$1,128,437 Vol.
$1,128,437 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$1,128,437終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,128,437終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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