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icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?
政治·トランプ

James Comey in jail by June 30?

icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?
政治·トランプ

James Comey in jail by June 30?

<1% 確率
Polymarket
新規
<1% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey for alleged threats tied to a 2025 social media post remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment rescheduled to September 30 and trial set for October 2026 in North Carolina. Comey surrendered in April but was released on his own recognizance, consistent with standard handling of non-violent charges absent flight risk or danger findings. Sentencing after any conviction would require additional hearings well beyond June 30, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 98.9% implied probability for "No." Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected judicial order for pretrial detention or a rapid plea agreement with immediate custody, though neither appears imminent given current court scheduling and case status.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,429
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey for alleged threats tied to a 2025 social media post remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment rescheduled to September 30 and trial set for October 2026 in North Carolina. Comey surrendered in April but was released on his own recognizance, consistent with standard handling of non-violent charges absent flight risk or danger findings. Sentencing after any conviction would require additional hearings well beyond June 30, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 98.9% implied probability for "No." Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected judicial order for pretrial detention or a rapid plea agreement with immediate custody, though neither appears imminent given current court scheduling and case status.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,429
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「James Comey in jail by June 30?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して1%です。例えば、「はい」が1¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を1%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「James Comey in jail by June 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「James Comey in jail by June 30?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「James Comey in jail by June 30?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して1%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を1%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「James Comey in jail by June 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。