The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$318,661 Vol.

2026年12月31日
5%
$318,661 Vol.

2026年12月31日
5%
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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