Skip to main content
icon for ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?

ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?

icon for ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?

ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?

$318,661 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$318,661 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 2026年12月31日

2026年12月31日

$2,216 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$318,661
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after a probe opened in January focused on his congressional testimony regarding the central bank's headquarters renovation costs. This closure has anchored trader sentiment, producing low implied probabilities for federal charges by year-end amid Powell's continued emphasis on monetary policy independence. Recent FOMC communications and stable economic data releases, including inflation and labor market indicators, have reinforced expectations of policy continuity without new legal developments. With no active subpoenas or filings reported since April, upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine Fed meetings and potential personnel shifts in 2027, keeping market-implied odds for charges minimal while underscoring the high bar for any revival.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$318,661
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で5%、次いで「2026年6月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、5¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に5%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?」は$318.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?」の現在のリーダーは「2026年12月31日」でわずか5%、「2026年6月30日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦政府から起訴されたのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。