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ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?

icon for ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?

ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?

$6,466,278 Vol.

2026/05/16
Polymarket

$6,466,278 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$995,383 Vol.

いいえ

5月14日

$3,133,198 Vol.

いいえ

5月15日

$1,185,656 Vol.

はい

5月16日

$538,913 Vol.

はい

5月31日

$418,882 Vol.

はい

6月30日

$194,246 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor earlier that week. Powell publicly stated he would step down from the chairmanship on that date while remaining a Board governor for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution. This transition follows standard term limits and Senate confirmation procedures rather than any forced removal. Traders assessing markets on Powell’s departure as chair focus on the timing of Warsh’s swearing-in and any interim arrangements, with the outcome now hinging on whether the formal handover meets the specified resolution window. No other major policy or personnel developments have altered the sequence in recent days.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,466,278
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor earlier that week. Powell publicly stated he would step down from the chairmanship on that date while remaining a Board governor for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution. This transition follows standard term limits and Senate confirmation procedures rather than any forced removal. Traders assessing markets on Powell’s departure as chair focus on the timing of Warsh’s swearing-in and any interim arrangements, with the outcome now hinging on whether the formal handover meets the specified resolution window. No other major policy or personnel developments have altered the sequence in recent days.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,466,278
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5月15日」で100%、次いで「5月16日」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?」は$6.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5月15日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5月16日」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジェローム・パウエルが連邦準備制度理事会議長に就任?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。