Goldman Sachs holds a commanding edge in trader sentiment for leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its established role as the top book runner alongside Morgan Stanley in the artificial intelligence giant’s confidential S-1 filing process. Both banks have deep expertise in large-scale technology listings and have formed dedicated teams to manage conflicts while preparing the ChatGPT developer for a potential late-2026 debut at a valuation exceeding $700 billion. Goldman’s recent lead-left positioning on the SpaceX IPO and longstanding relationships in the AI sector reinforce its frontrunner status, while Morgan Stanley remains a credible alternative but trails in perceived momentum. Other banks show minimal involvement in early underwriting discussions, limiting their implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.8%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 Vol.
$42,650 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.8%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 Vol.
$42,650 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding edge in trader sentiment for leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its established role as the top book runner alongside Morgan Stanley in the artificial intelligence giant’s confidential S-1 filing process. Both banks have deep expertise in large-scale technology listings and have formed dedicated teams to manage conflicts while preparing the ChatGPT developer for a potential late-2026 debut at a valuation exceeding $700 billion. Goldman’s recent lead-left positioning on the SpaceX IPO and longstanding relationships in the AI sector reinforce its frontrunner status, while Morgan Stanley remains a credible alternative but trails in perceived momentum. Other banks show minimal involvement in early underwriting discussions, limiting their implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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