President Trump’s renewed August 5 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—following the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that upheld the “for cause” standard and blocked immediate dismissal—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The White House letter gave Cook until August 26 to respond before any final decision, yet markets assign low single-digit probabilities to her departure by year-end, reflecting the high legal threshold for removal, ongoing litigation, and strong institutional emphasis on Federal Reserve independence. Key upcoming catalysts include the response deadline, potential further court proceedings, and FOMC meetings that could test Cook’s continued participation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
9月30日
2%
10月31日
3%
11月30日
5%
12月31日
7%
$4,656 Vol.
9月30日
$1,246 Vol.
2%
10月31日
$1,236 Vol.
3%
11月30日
$939 Vol.
5%
12月31日
$1,235 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 5 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—following the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that upheld the “for cause” standard and blocked immediate dismissal—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The White House letter gave Cook until August 26 to respond before any final decision, yet markets assign low single-digit probabilities to her departure by year-end, reflecting the high legal threshold for removal, ongoing litigation, and strong institutional emphasis on Federal Reserve independence. Key upcoming catalysts include the response deadline, potential further court proceedings, and FOMC meetings that could test Cook’s continued participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$4,656終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 5 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—following the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that upheld the “for cause” standard and blocked immediate dismissal—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The White House letter gave Cook until August 26 to respond before any final decision, yet markets assign low single-digit probabilities to her departure by year-end, reflecting the high legal threshold for removal, ongoing litigation, and strong institutional emphasis on Federal Reserve independence. Key upcoming catalysts include the response deadline, potential further court proceedings, and FOMC meetings that could test Cook’s continued participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,656終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s renewed August 5 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—following the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that upheld the “for cause” standard and blocked immediate dismissal—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The White House letter gave Cook until August 26 to respond before any final decision, yet markets assign low single-digit probabilities to her departure by year-end, reflecting the high legal threshold for removal, ongoing litigation, and strong institutional emphasis on Federal Reserve independence. Key upcoming catalysts include the response deadline, potential further court proceedings, and FOMC meetings that could test Cook’s continued participation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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