Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のアンカラの最低気温は？
9月15日のアンカラの最低気温は？
5℃以下 98%
15℃以上 98%
6°C 39%
13℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
5℃以下
98%
6°C
39%
7°C
20%
8℃
21%
9℃
21%
10℃
21%
11℃
20%
12℃
20%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃以上
98%
5℃以下 98%
15℃以上 98%
6°C 39%
13℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
5℃以下
$10 Vol.
98%
6°C
$10 Vol.
39%
7°C
$0 Vol.
20%
8℃
$0 Vol.
21%
9℃
$0 Vol.
21%
10℃
$0 Vol.
21%
11℃
$0 Vol.
20%
12℃
$0 Vol.
20%
13℃
$10 Vol.
39%
14℃
$10 Vol.
39%
15℃以上
$10 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$50終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$50終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETRecent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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