Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のアンカラの最低気温は？
9月14日のアンカラの最低気温は？
12℃以下 98%
22℃以上 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
12℃以下
98%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20℃
39%
21℃
39%
22℃以上
98%
12℃以下 98%
22℃以上 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
98%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$20 Vol.
39%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19℃
$0 Vol.
39%
20℃
$0 Vol.
39%
21℃
$0 Vol.
39%
22℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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